Polls
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Opinion
I Was a Republican Partisan. It Altered the Way I Saw the World.
I’m having the strongest sense of déjà vu. In 2012, I was a Republican partisan. This was when I was…
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News
Three Theories for Why Trump’s Primary Results Are Not Matching Expectations
He has underperformed the polls in each of the first three contests.
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Opinion
A Trump Conviction Could Cost Him Enough Voters to Tip the Election
Recent general-election polling has generally shown Donald Trump maintaining a slight lead over President Biden. Yet many of those polls…
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News
Why Biden’s Weakness Among Young Voters Should Be Taken Seriously
Almost all the polling shows the same pattern. Could the coming campaign restore Democrats’ usual advantage?
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News
The Crisis in Issue Polling, and What We’re Doing About It
A poll can be very close to the actual result but miss the key story line. We’ll try new question…
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News
In Ecuador, an Assassination Brings a Turning Point
Genevieve Glatsky, a reporter for the Andes bureau, discussed the assassination of Fernando Villavicencio, a presidential candidate who exposed governmental…
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News
How Did We Do? A Review of 2022 Before Our First Poll of 2023.
Trying to learn from a strong midterm run as we start surveying the G.O.P. primary.
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News
Wait, the Campaign Is Halfway Done?
In the so-called invisible primary, there’s often a clear relationship between early polling and the eventual outcome.
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News
Is Trump Way Up or Way Down?
The polls are surprisingly divided, but higher-quality surveys point to an answer.
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News
Answering Reader Questions on a Covid Effect, Gerrymandering and More
How much did coronavirus deaths, redistricting and voter suppression matter in the last election?
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